Final PhD Seminar - Viability of local vaccine production: An economic analysis of cost structures, market shares and vaccine prices

Vaccine

Syarifah Liza Munira is a final year PhD candidate in Health Economics at the Department of Global Health, RSPH. Liza completed her Bachelor in Economics at the University of Indonesia (2001) and Masters in Public Policy at the National University of Singapore (2006). Liza holds an Australian Leadership Award (ALA) scholarship (DFAT), and has also been awarded the Allison Sudrajat Prize (DFAT/Australia Awards). Liza has worked in both public and private institutions within the health sector, namely the World Health Organization, the World Bank, the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, TB and Malaria and GlaxoSmithKline Pharmaceuticals. Her PhD focuses on public market vaccine producers in middle income countries.

Abstract

Local vaccine producers supply over half of the world’s vaccines. However, economic studies on local vaccine production in the present time, are limited. A better understanding of local vaccine production will help developing countries identify the current critical elements that predict vaccine production viability. This may also assist global health advocates and policymakers to navigate and develop policies that can better support existing producers and other developing countries that are considering investing into local vaccine production.
Liza's research focuses on three aspects related to local vaccine production: cost structures; market shares and revenues; and vaccine prices. She will discuss the key findings relating to these aspects. In particular she will discuss the primary data that was collected and the cost analysis conducted by using three-hypothetical scenarios of production scale and scope. She will also show how she used a multilevel regression model on a three-level hierarchical panel dataset (2012 – 2014) that was developed to assess the influence of viability factors’ on public market vaccines, in the overall global market as well as the domestic and export markets in specific. Lastly, Liza will present a multilevel regression model to show the effects of procurement factors on a four-level hierarchical panel dataset (2005 – 2015) of prices for vaccines produced by middle income countries.